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Mapping Volcanoes to Mantle Flow in the Aegean Sea

The South Aegean Volcanic Arc, including Santorini, is one of the most active and famous volcanic regions of the Mediterranean. It formed mainly through subduction of the African Plate beneath the Aegean/Eurasian region along the Hellenic subduction zone. The arc includes, from west to east, the volcanic fields of SousakiAegina–Methana–Poros; Milos; Christiana–Santorini–Kolumbo; and Kos–Nisyros–Yali/Gyali.

In the convection-roll model, the arc is highly symmetrical around the central axis of the Aegean Sea, and the model as well, while still being affected by the westward tectonic drift of the Anatolian region. The volcanoes appear to fall along specific modeled convection-roll lines. This close fit between a mathematical model and observed surface volcanism adds statistical support to the relevance of the model.

The volcanic alignment can be summarized as follows:

Sousaki, Aegina, Methana, and Poros are situated above the westernmost set 1.
Milos lies above the second set of downwelling lines.
Central Axis: Santorini and Kolumbo are located near the central axis of the Aegean Sea.
Nisyros, Gyali (Yali), and Kos are positioned above the easternmost downwelling line of set 4.

Within the South Aegean volcanic arc, four sets of lines are identified in the convection-roll model. However, volcanic centers are concentrated above only three of these. Notably, no volcanoes are observed directly above the line of the pair marked as number 3. Instead, volcanic activity, most prominently at Santorini and Kolumbo, is located between lines marked as 2 and 3, aligning closely with the central axis of the Aegean Sea.

This pattern suggests that the central axis may act as a preferential path for magma ascent. Similar axial focusing has been observed in other tectonic settings, such as Iceland (particularly the North Volcanic Zone), where mantle upwelling and crustal weaknesses combine to localize volcanism and high temperature areas along a central N-S aligned axis.

Within the framework of this model, it can be hypothesized that mantle material associated with line 3 does not produce surface volcanism directly above it. Instead, the flow may be laterally redistributed, potentially westward, before rising along zones of reduced lithospheric strength at the central axis. This would imply that the interaction between convection patterns and lithospheric structure plays a key role in determining the final location of volcanic activity.

This suggests that the division lines of the convection rolls play a decisive role in determining the exact locations of volcanic activity. The activity itself is, of course, initiated by the subduction of the African Plate and the associated processes. As in many other regions of the world, subduction creates a volcanic arc that is clearly detectable at the surface and is dotted with volcanoes. It is precisely at the points where the convection-roll division lines intersect this arc that volcanic centers appear.

In this context, the blue downwelling lines may also be interpreted as marking conduits for ascending magma. The term “downwelling” refers to the slow convection of plastic mantle material; however, along the boundaries between convection rolls, at the division lines, partial melting can occur. This process may create zones of weakness within the lithosphere, providing favorable conditions for magma ascent and, ultimately, volcanic activity at the surface.

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How Basaltic Magma Ascends within Subduction Zones

I did discuss how magma must ascend from below the descending slab. If not, there would not be enough mantle material available for partial melting, not enough heat because of the cooling effect of the slab, etc. Simplifying the picture, emphasizing on the ascending magma only, the idea can be drawn AI-style:

In this way the production of basalt for Mt. Fuji, for instance, can be explained.

This can be tested by comparing sections of subduction zones with the model.

Fuji

There are many examples of how the model shows consistency with actual circumstances, position, alignment, and length. Trenches and volcanic zones also tend to coincide with convection rolls, the trench following the scope of a roll, then one roll is found in between the trench and the volcanic roll, and finally the bulk of volcanic activity is found in context with one roll. These three rolls are parallel to each other. The volcanic activity also tends to terminate at the border of a polygon. Here, two examples of this type of subduction are provided, from different corners of the Pacific Ocean:

The geology of these areas should then be analyzed for each of those diamond-shaped areas marked on the maps.

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The Distribution of High-Temperature Geothermal Areas in Relation to Plate Boundaries and Mantle Convection in Iceland

There are two main rules governing the distribution of high-temperature geothermal areas:
(1) their location along the boundaries between tectonic plates, and
(2) their alignment with the boundaries of mantle convection rolls.

High temperature areas in Iceland pointed out.

Not all the high-tempereature areas are directly “pointed at” here, because the purpose is not to show a list, only that the location of those areas can be linked to an understandable process within the whole tectonic plate. Intrusions of magma were responsible for all those formations.

In practice, almost all high-temperature areas are located either directly on, or immediately adjacent to, these lines. The main exceptions are Eyjafjallajökull, which is known to be connected to its neighbouring system beneath Mýrdalsjökull, and Hofsjökull, where the presence of a high-temperature area is somewhat uncertain. Map base: https://vatnsidnadur.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NI-03016.pdf

The Torfajökull area lies somewhat distant from the plate boundary, yet it is the largest and most powerful of all high-temperature systems in Iceland. However, the area is highly fractured, suggesting that its roots may extend toward the plate boundary at depth.

Taken together, all 24 areas appear to occur within a similar structural context. Not every area is pointed out with an arrow, but in this way the consistency becomes more obvious.

This map is more accurate, and the consistency becomes more obvious. On the other hand, the locations are less clearly marked. Comparing those two maps is therefore ideal.

The fact that two different factors are relevant here, division between tectonic plate and convection rolls division lines is of course intriguing. It must be kept in mind that the origin of these lines is to be traced 120 km below the surface. This AI drawing tells a story:

AI-version of the ascending path of magma – not to scale.

The remarkable aspect is how precisely the vertical flow from asthenospheric roots appears to be aligned along the boundaries of convection rolls. In contrast, along plate boundaries, according to this model, magma travels laterally before ascending at its final location. The divergent tectonic process creates pathways that allow magma to accumulate in these zones, leading to the formation of high-temperature geothermal areas.

List of Main High-Temperature Geothermal Areas in Iceland:


  1. Hveravellir
  2. Reykjadalur
  3. Prestahnúkur
  4. Geysir
  5. Hengill
  6. Reykjanes
  7. Kerlingarfjöll
  8. Mýrdalsjökull
  9. Hágöngur
  10. Vonarskarð
  11. Þeistareykir
  12. Öxarfjörður
  13. Gjástykki
  14. Krafla
  15. Námafjall
  16. Fremrinámar
  17. Hrúthálsar
  18. Askja
  19. Kverkfjöll
  20. Grímsvötn
  21. Jökulskálar
  22. Hofsjökull
  23. Eyjafjallajökull
  24. Torfajökull
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What We Learn from Ophiolites

Ophiolites are slices of oceanic crust that have been uplifted and exposed, making it possible to examine a cross-section of a tectonic plate. This provides a valuable opportunity to study the different layers of the Earth. There are many ophiolites, the most famous probably being those found in Oman and Cyprus. These were emplaced onto continental crust through obduction and are in some cases tilted or rotated.

The uppermost ~5 kilometers of the brittle oceanic crust can thus be examined in cross-section. At the top lies a layer of pillow lavas, beneath which are sheeted dikes, followed by a gabbro layer extending down to the Moho discontinuity. In favorable cases, ophiolites also expose portions of the underlying mantle.

At the Moho, there is typically a transition zone composed mainly of two rock types: wehrlite just below the gabbro, followed by dunite. Beneath this lies the lithospheric mantle, which is composed mainly of harzburgite. This is a type of peridotite that remains after the original lherzolite of the asthenosphere has undergone partial melting to produce basalt.

Basalt originates from the asthenosphere at depths of around 120 km. The temperature of basalt at eruption at the Earth’s surface is surprisingly close to the temperature at which it originally formed. In Iceland, basalt may represent up to about 20% partial melting of the original lherzolite.

One particularly important feature revealed by the exposure of mantle below the Moho is the presence of conduits through which partial melt (basaltic magma) has traveled. These conduits consist of dunite, composed almost entirely of olivine. They form vertical channels leading up toward the Moho. This indicates that partially molten material can flow upward relatively rapidly, entering the gabbroic section immediately above the Moho transition zone.

The gabbro zone is commonly divided into two parts, with the lower portion showing layered structures. Within this zone, basaltic magma can accumulate in sills and magma chambers, where it may partially crystallize before continuing its ascent. When conditions allow, the magma rises again, typically vertically, through the sheeted dike complex, forming successive dikes.

As frequently observed in Iceland, such processes can eventually lead to volcanic eruptions at the surface. On the ocean floor, these eruptions typically produce pillow lavas. The vertical continuity and rather fast flow of basalt up through the tectonic plate can explain how it maintains temperature (almost) found at the depth of 120 km at the surface. This AI picture expresses the process:

AI-version of the ascending path of magma – not to scale.

The vertical movement of partially melted material through the tectonic plates can partly explain why division lines in the asthenosphere can be detected at the surface. This process continues over long distances, forming dikes of considerable length. Even more importantly, this ongoing process creates divisions around which different parts, often described here as polygons, can adjust to the tectonic drift that constantly alters the positions of continents and oceanic crust. Another contributing factor is the local horizontal movement, combined with the global tectonic drift trend, which can lead to localized rifting or pressure at the surface.

For mainland crust, the section looks slightly different for the upper most part. Again, this AI image can be made:

AI-generated cross-section of a continental plate – not to scale.

The result of this activity, which can be traced in mantle remains of ophiolites, can be detected on the surface. This is the map of Iceland:

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The 1.5° Spatial Sequence of Iceland

The Active South

Looking closely at southern Iceland, from the Reykjanes Ridge in the west to Öræfajökull in the east, a sequence of 1.5° spatial intervals can be observed. This pattern can be analyzed in detail, as many geological features align consistently within it.

Study area of South Iceland

First, the mid-ocean ridge forms a continuous structural trend, including a section approximately 900 km long. The Reykjanes Peninsula can be interpreted as a single volcanic zone, although its westernmost part represents a transition from a side-stepping arrangement of volcanic systems to a more continuous ridge structure.

Study area of South Iceland enlarged

Within this framework, a polygonal area can be identified that is densely filled with volcanic systems. A southwest (SW) division line within this polygon marks the location of the Blue Lagoon. At present, this line appears to provide a steady flow of magma into the crust, feeding a magma chamber beneath the area. When this chamber empties, eruptions occur along the Sundhnúkur crater row.

A dike intrusion and associated surface deformation have developed along a SW–NE trend, extending across much of the peninsula, from the southern coast toward the area near the road connecting Reykjavík and Keflavík Airport in the north.

To the east, the volcanic systems of Krýsuvík, Trölladyngja, and Hengill are aligned along the same structural trend. The eastern boundary of Hengill is marked by a clear slope known as Hlíð, after which other volcanic systems of the West Volcanic Zone (WVZ) continue along the calculated division line.

These intersections also define the western boundary of the South Iceland Seismic Zone (SISZ), which dominates the next 1.5° interval eastward, extending toward the volcano Hekla.

Hekla lies at a key boundary:

  • between the SISZ and the East Volcanic Zone (EVZ)
  • between the divergent tectonic region to the north and the volcanic but non-divergent region to the south

The southern region is therefore often referred to as the South Iceland Volcanic Belt, distinguishing it from the actively rifting EVZ. South of this lies the Westman Islands, which are sometimes treated separately, although they can also be viewed as part of a continuous volcanic system with the EVZ and the southern belt.

As in the West Volcanic Zone, the calculated division line clearly marks the eastern boundary of the EVZ. Across the region, the main volcanic systems consistently align with the pattern expected from underlying convection rolls. The division lines, their intersections, and the polygonal areas all appear to play structural roles. Even the north–south and east–west axes that subdivide these polygons seem to influence volcanic behavior.

A comparable polygonal structure includes the volcanic systems of Katla and Eyjafjallajökull. This has both:

  • an east–west axis from Katla to Eyjafjallajökull
  • a north–south axis running from Hekla through Vatnafjöll to Eyjafjallajökull

Eyjafjallajökull lies at the center of this polygon. The 2010 eruption of Eyjafjallajökull can be interpreted within this framework: basaltic magma flowed along the east–west axis from the east into the volcano, triggering an eruption from a more silica-rich magma chamber with a lower melting point.

From the EVZ, another 1.5° step to the east leads to Öræfajökull, the highest volcano in Iceland. A narrow volcanic zone extends northeast from it along a division line. At this location, four inferred convection-roll division lines appear to converge. A similar structural role is observed at Grímsvötn, located to the northwest and also separated by a polygon of 1.5° span from east to west.

There are, of course, many additional details, which are explored in other posts.